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BJ21.com Free Message Board
I think what he fails to understand...
Posted By: Suth'n Gent In Response To: an unseen card is an unseen card (DD')
Date: 15 Jun 01, 7:13 am
is the concept that we do not expect the TC to change on average as the shoe depletes, regardless of the count.
Maniac, assume for example a RC of +12 w/ 2 decks remaining, giving us a TC of +6. The next half deck is dealt, and we expect on average for 3 more high cards to come out, so now we are at a RC of +9 w/ 1.5 decks remaining, still giving us a TC of +6. Continue dealing another half deck and three more high cards than low come out on average. Now we are at a RC & TC of +6 w/ one deck remaining. The big cards are coming out as expected, but they are evenly distributed on average and therefore the TC doesn't change on average. This is what EE Counter was trying to explain.
This is a very hard concept for many to understand, and has been much discussed in the past. Many think that in a big count, the big cards will tend to come out immediately and return the count to neutral, but this is simply not the case.
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